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Basics of Market Profile Technical Analysis

Market Cycle

It is the cycle in which the markets move up and down through various stages such as Accumulation – Mark Up – Distribution – Mark Down and sometimes the intervening stages of Re-accumulation and Re-distribution.

AMT

Auction Market Theory proposes that all financial markets work like an auction. That the price will move higher in search of sellers and price will move down in search of buyers.

Once the price has move low enough to uncover buying strong enough to stop the down auction, a new auction up will begin.

Market Profile Charts can be used effectively along with AMT principles to trade low risk opportunities in financial markets.

Market Profile

Market Profile is a way of organizing data. It organizes data in such a way that it reveals various AMT principles in real time.

In a MP chart the regular bars and candlesticks are replaced by letters (one letter for each 30 min bar is the most common setting). These letters are then collapsed on to the price axis to give it a distinct shape, which sometimes resembles a bell curve.

Normal

When price stays within the initial balance the whole day the day type is called as a Normal Day.

  • Balanced Profile
  • Wider Initial Balance
  • maximum participation happens at the center of the profile
  • Directional IB Breakout
  • OTF Shows their presence
Normal Day
  • Swift early entry of OTF
  • Then OTF buyer/seller auction price within wide IB
  • Caused by overnight or early News Announcements.
Normal

When price stays within the initial balance the whole day the day type is called as a Normal Day.

  • Balanced Profile
  • Wider Initial Balance
  • maximum participation happens at the center of the profile
  • Directional IB Breakout
  • OTF Shows their presence
Normal Day
  • Swift early entry of OTF
  • Then OTF buyer/seller auction price within wide IB
  • Caused by overnight or early News Announcements.
Double Distribution Trend Day

When price forms a narrow balance to begin with and then BO/BD from that balance and then form a second balance in the same day, the day type is called a double distribution trend day.

  • Distribution is an imbalance profile where Initial Balance
  • Two Balance Regions created separated by Single Prints
  • Higher timeframe in Control
  • Smaller IB range
  • Those Single Prints indicates the presence of higher timeframes
Neutral

When price extends range beyond the IB in both directions and closes within the value area, it is called a Neutral Day.

  • Neutral Day is a balanced profile where initial range is smaller than Normal day.
  • Both the Other timeframe buyers and other timeframe sellers are Present
  • Range Extension happens on both the sides
  • Price closes around the center of balance
Neutral Center Day
  • OTF buyer and sellers have a close view of value.
  • Both OTF buyer and seller are present, evidenced by range extensions on both sides.
  • Price closes in center of the profile after trading at both extremes, indicates between OTF buyers and sellers.
NEX

When price extends the range in one direction and then moves in opposite direction and extending the range at the other end, as well as closing on the extreme, is called a Neutral Extreme day.

  • The days developments are similar to Neutral Center Day.
  • Only the close is at one of the extremes.
  • This indicates a hypothetical victory for on of the paricipants.
Profile Type – Neutral Day Extreme
  • Neutral Day is a balanced profile where initial range is smaller than Normal day.
  • Low volume in the first half. Lack of Higher timeframe in the first half.
  • Second half will be exciting as volume starts flowing and price breaks both the IB low and IB high with strong volumes. Shows the dominance of higher timeframes stepping in.
  • Price closes on one of the days extreme
Open Types

OIR

When prices open inside yesterday’s range, we call it Open Inside Range.
The range development potential is limited.

OOR

When prices open outside yesterday’s range, we call it Open Outside Range.
In this scenario the range development tends to be wide, and dynamic moves can be expected.

Market Opening Type :

Open Drive (OD)
Open Drive exhibit maximum confidence from the OTF timeframe traders
Opens Gap up and Never got back into the previous day range
Opens Gap up and Trades in the same direction of the previous day
Low made in the first 30 min never taken out throughout the day
Witnessed more in Bear market counter rally

OTD

Market opens and test beyond a known reference to check for any unfinished business, if not found we resume the drive.
Second most confident opening.

OOD
  • Market opens and drives confidently in one direction.
  • Price seldom returns to the opening level.
Market Opening Type : Open Test Drive (OTD)
  • Price Opens with Gap above/below Previous days range or Price Opens at the edge of the previous days range
  • Confidence exhibited by OTF timeframe traders is less than that of Open Drive
  • Opens Gap up and price got snaps back into the previous day range or value area in first 30min and once test is over Trades in the same direction of the previous day
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